https://phaidra.vetmeduni.ac.at/o:3520 The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis Halupka, Lucyna Lucyna Halupka 0000-0002-8043-8111 University of Wrocław Halupka, Konrad Konrad Halupka 0000-0001-5139-1134 University of Wrocław Margalida, Antoni Antoni Margalida Instituto de Investigación en Recursos Cinegéticos / Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Zárybnická, Markéta Markéta Zárybnická 0000-0001-5883-0988 Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Wysocki, Dariusz Dariusz Wysocki 0000-0002-1064-1579 University of Szczecin Wuczyński, Andrzej Andrzej Wuczyński 0000-0001-9577-3855 Polish Academy of Sciences Wood, Andrew G. Andrew G. Wood Natural Environment Research Council Wiebe, Karen L. Karen L. Wiebe 0000-0002-3148-8278 University of Saskatchewan Wiącek, Jarosław Jarosław Wiącek 0000-0002-9566-8593 Maria Curie-Skłodowska University Wheelwright, Nathaniel T Nathaniel T Wheelwright 0000-0003-2578-9514 Bowdoin College Westneat, David F. David F. Westneat 0000-0001-5163-8096 University of Kentucky Visser, Marcel E. Marcel E. Visser 0000-0002-1456-1939 Netherlands Institute of Ecology Vernooij, Louis Louis Vernooij Netherlands Institute of Ecology van de Pol, Martijn Martijn van de Pol 0000-0003-4102-4079 Netherlands Institute of Ecology / James Cook University Török, János János Török 0000-0002-4275-2396 Eötvös Loránd University Tobolka, Marcin Marcin Tobolka 0000-0002-4989-1524 University of Veterinary Medicine Vienna / University of Life Sciences in Poznań Thompson, Paul M. Paul M. Thompson 0000-0001-6195-3284 University of Aberdeen Stępniewski, Janusz Janusz Stępniewski 0000-0001-9759-5204 Panurus Monitoringi Inwentaryzacje Opinie Przyrodnicze Solovyeva, Diana V. Diana V. Solovyeva 0000-0001-5076-0305 Russian Academy of Sciences Solonen, Tapio Tapio Solonen 0000-0002-4817-3942 Sergio, Fabrizio Fabrizio Sergio 0000-0002-8024-1773 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Senar, Juan C. Juan C. Senar 0000-0001-9955-3892 Natural Science Museum of Barcelona Schaub, Michael Michael Schaub 0000-0003-2745-0557 University of Aberdeen / University of Bern Saunders, Denis A. Denis A. Saunders 0000-0001-5959-573X Samusenko, Irina E. Irina E. Samusenko 0000-0001-9834-8109 National Academy of Sciences of Belarus Rubenstein, Dustin R. Dustin R. Rubenstein 0000-0002-4999-3723 Columbia University Roulin, Alexandre Alexandre Roulin University of Lausanne Rosenfield, Robert N. Robert N. Rosenfield 0000-0002-1601-9246 University of Wisconsin–Stevens Point Ravussin, Pierre-Alain Pierre-Alain Ravussin 0000-0002-9033-739X Ramos, Jaime A. Jaime A. Ramos 0000-0002-9533-987X University of Coimbra Quillfeldt, Petra Petra Quillfeldt 0000-0002-4450-8688 University of Giessen Prop, Jouke Jouke Prop 0000-0001-9504-9007 University of Groningen Printemps, Thierry Thierry Printemps Groupe d'Etudes et de Protection des Busards Pöysä, Hannu Hannu Pöysä 0000-0002-1585-2375 University of Eastern Finland Potti, Jaime Jaime Potti 0000-0002-2284-0022 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Porkert, Jiří Jiří Porkert 0000-0002-1558-1245 Polo, Vicente Vicente Polo Universidad Rey Juan Carlos Pietiäinen, Hannu Hannu Pietiäinen University of Helsinki Phillips, Richard A Richard A Phillips Natural Environment Research Council Öst, Markus Markus Öst 0000-0002-2205-1437 Åbo Akademi University Oro, Daniel Daniel Oro 0000-0003-4782-3007 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Orłowska, Beata Beata Orłowska University of Wrocław Numerov, Alexander Alexander Numerov 0000-0002-2714-953X Voronezh State University Nielsen, Jan Tøttrup Jan Tøttrup Nielsen Neves, Verónica C. Verónica C. Neves 0000-0002-6826-4542 Universidade dos Açores Møller, Anders P. Anders P. Møller Université Paris-Saclay Marzal, Alfonso Alfonso Marzal 0000-0001-5872-1060 Universidad de Extremadura Lyakhov, Andrey Andrey Lyakhov Russian Academy of Sciences Lombardo, Michael P. Michael P. Lombardo 0000-0001-6322-494X Grand Valley State University Lambin, Xavier Xavier Lambin 0000-0003-4643-2653 University of Aberdeen Kuranov, Boris D. Boris D. Kuranov Tomsk State University Krüger, Sonja C. Sonja C. Krüger 0000-0002-5761-0139 Ezemvelo KwaZulu-Natal Wildlife / University of KwaZulu-Natal Krist, Miloš Miloš Krist 0000-0002-6183-686X Palacký University Olomouc / Museum of Natural History, Olomouc Krams, Indrikis Indrikis Krams 0000-0001-7150-4108 University of Latvia / Daugavpils University / University of Tartu Korpimäki, Erkki Erkki Korpimäki 0000-0001-7596-1955 University of Turku Korczak-Abshire, Małgorzata Małgorzata Korczak-Abshire 0000-0001-7695-0588 Polish Academy of Sciences Kolunen, Heikki Heikki Kolunen Koenig, Walter D. Walter D. Koenig 0000-0001-6207-1427 University of California, Berkeley / Cornell University Kloskowski, Janusz Janusz Kloskowski 0000-0002-0525-2421 Poznań University of Life Sciences Karell, Patrik Patrik Karell 0000-0003-0297-125X Novia University of Applied Sciences / Lund University Jagiełło, Zuzanna Zuzanna Jagiełło 0000-0003-1606-2612 University of Life Sciences in Poznań Hoover, Jeffrey P. Jeffrey P. Hoover 0000-0003-0394-3971 University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Harris, Michael P. Michael P. Harris UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Griesser, Michael Michael Griesser 0000-0002-2220-2637 University of Konstanz / Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior Golubova, Elena Yu Elena Yu Golubova Russian Academy of Sciences Gashkov, Sergey I. Sergey I. Gashkov 0000-0001-9620-5147 Tomsk State University Fargallo, Juan A. Juan A. Fargallo 0000-0003-4090-9000 Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Espmark, Yngve Yngve Espmark Norwegian University of Science and Technology Emmerson, Louise M. Louise M. Emmerson 0000-0001-7336-0961 Australian Antarctic Division Eeva, Tapio Tapio Eeva 0000-0002-0395-1536 University of Turku Dunn, Michael J. Michael J. Dunn 0000-0003-4633-5466 Natural Environment Research Council Drummond, Hugh Hugh Drummond 0000-0002-7456-8470 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México Dombrovski, Valery C. Valery C. Dombrovski 0000-0003-1954-5134 National Academy of Sciences of Belarus Di Giacomo, Adrián S. Adrián S. Di Giacomo Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas de Lope, Florentino Florentino de Lope Universidad de Extremadura Dearborn, Donald C. Donald C. Dearborn Bates College / Cardiff University Czuchra, Monika Monika Czuchra 0000-0002-9090-9036 University of Wrocław Covas, Rita Rita Covas 0000-0001-7130-144X University of Cape Town / Universidade do Porto Chernomorets, Anna Anna Chernomorets 0000-0002-3073-5820 National Academy of Sciences of Belarus Charter, Motti Motti Charter 0000-0003-3861-6356 University of Haifa Catry, Inês Inês Catry 0000-0002-5593-5001 Universidade do Porto / University of Lisbon Carstens, Kate F. Kate F. Carstens 0000-0001-5608-8118 University of Cape Town Bulluck, Lesley Lesley Bulluck Virginia Commonwealth University Bukaciński, Dariusz Dariusz Bukaciński 0000-0003-0163-2950 Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw Brouwer, Lyanne Lyanne Brouwer 0000-0001-6728-4851 James Cook University / Australian National University Bried, Joël Joël Bried 0000-0001-7377-4304 Universidade dos Açores Bowers, E. Keith E. Keith Bowers 0000-0003-4488-1463 University of Memphis Bolton, Mark Mark Bolton Royal Society for the Protection of Birds Belskii, Eugen Eugen Belskii 0000-0002-7570-2555 Russian Academy of Sciences Becker, Peter H. Peter H. Becker 0000-0001-5323-6648 Institute of Avian Research Barrett, Robert T. Robert T. Barrett Tromsø University Museum Barba, Emilio Emilio Barba 0000-0003-2882-9788 Universitat de València Bańbura, Mirosława Mirosława Bańbura University of Łódź Baglione, Vittorio Vittorio Baglione 0000-0001-8464-7861 Universidad de León Artemyev, Alexander V. Alexander V. Artemyev 0000-0002-7594-3500 Russian Academy of Sciences Arendt, Wayne J. Wayne J. Arendt 0000-0001-8462-4416 International Institute of Tropical Forestry Albert, Pascal Pascal Albert Adamík, Peter Peter Adamík 0000-0003-1566-1234 Palacký University Olomouc / Museum of Natural History Arlt, Debora Debora Arlt 0000-0003-0874-4250 Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Tolvanen, Jere Jere Tolvanen 0000-0002-0250-3176 University of Oulu Millon, Alexandre Alexandre Millon 0000-0002-9475-4123 Bize, Pierre Pierre Bize 0000-0002-6759-4371 Swiss Ornithological Institute Bańbura, Jerzy Jerzy Bańbura 0000-0002-7479-3117 University of Łódź Bukacińska, Monika Monika Bukacińska 0000-0002-4526-3141 Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University in Warsaw National Academy of Sciences of the United States text eng Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young. Animals; Female; Climate Change; Seasons; Chickens; Reproduction; Life History Traits http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://phaidra.vetmeduni.ac.at/api/object/o:3520/download 10.1073/pnas.2208389120 https://phaidra.vetmeduni.ac.at/o:605 application/pdf Proceedings of the National Academy of Siences of the United States 120(19) (2023) Proceedings of the National Academy of Siences of the United States 120 19 7.98 MB 2023